Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
1.5 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección1m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Peltola 0-3% 20%+1.5ptLíder entre 10 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
21,4 €
Liquidez
32 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 minutos
17 sept 26, 18:30 UTC3 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
The first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election.
- The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot.
- They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
