PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
290K-305K 33.9%+25.0ptLíder entre 8 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
55 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
2,2 mil €
Liquidez
12,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+9.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
18 ago 26, 14:09 UTC3 nov 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendencias
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Mercados abiertos
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- J.D. Vance50%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)?
- Polymarket cotiza 290K-305K al 34% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)?
- Está previsto que Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) se resuelva el 3 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.