Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 88.4%
Pronosticadores
51
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado1 ene 24, 14:43 UTC1 ene 31, 5:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketReglas
Will empirical evidence arise through experiments definitively determining if gravity is fundamentally quantum? Or will evidence prove that gravity cannot be quantized into Graviton-like particles? Multiple experiments have been proposed, and some are currently underway which may answer this fundamental question.
- Market resolves to YES if definitive proof arises as to the nature of gravity by the end of 2030, and otherwise resolves to NO.
- A related market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Supermaxman/is-gravity-fundamentally-quantum)
Mercados abiertos
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- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 2030+7.0pt83%
- Before 2029+17.9pt50%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 211 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 110,5 mil €
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 resultados más
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
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- Before 202812%
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+5 resultados más
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- 28,6 M €
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- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Volumen total
- 1,6 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 5,2 mil €
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- before 2027+22.0pt98%
- before December+30.0pt98%
+3 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+4.0pt49%
- Before 2030+18.0pt39%
- Before 2032-9.0pt39%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will we know if gravity is fundamentally quantum by the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 88% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will we know if gravity is fundamentally quantum by the end of 2030??
- Está previsto que Will we know if gravity is fundamentally quantum by the end of 2030? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2031.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will we know if gravity is fundamentally quantum by the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Will empirical evidence arise through experiments definitively determining if gravity is fundamentally quantum? Or will evidence prove that gravity cannot be quantized into Graviton-like particles? Multiple experiments have been proposed, and some are currently underway which may answer this fundamental question.