In which year will a quantum computer with at least 1,000 logical qubits be publicly demonstrated?
CienciaTecnología4aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNot demonstrated by 31 Dec 2035 31.6%Líder entre 5 opciones
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12
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multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
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Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado7 ene 26, 14:44 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
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📌 Description :
- This market resolves based on the first public demonstration of a quantum computer achieving ≥1,000 logical qubits.
- A valid demonstration must include:
- • Explicit identification of logical qubits (error-corrected, not physical qubits),
- • Evidence of fault-tolerant operation (e.g. sustained error correction),
- • Public disclosure via peer-reviewed paper, preprint, or official announcement by a recognized organization (company, research lab, or government agency).
