Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)

Preguntas frecuentes

¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)?

Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 89.1% a fecha de 29 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)?

Está previsto que Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria) se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2100.

¿Cómo se liquida Will we have weak AGI by 2030? (metaculus criteria)?

Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria are the same as for the metaculus question: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/3479/date-weakly-general-ai-is-publicly-known/

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+0.3pt98%
• Anthropic-1.3pt1%
• OpenAI-0.1pt1%

+18 resultados más

Volumen total

3,7 M €

Volumen 24h

214 mil €

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+5.8pt53.4%
• Claude-11.7pt32.3%
• ChatGPT+0.6pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+10.5pt23%
• 2028-1.0pt17%
• 2027-6.5pt8%

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029-10.0pt28%
• 2028-12.0pt26%
• 2027-26.0pt12%

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-0.5pt30.4%
• $1.5–$1.75T+4.3pt20.6%
• $2.0–$2.25T20.6%

+7 resultados más

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google+3.5pt53%
• Anthropic-8.5pt33%
• OpenAI-0.1pt6%

+12 resultados más

• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Gemini Carbon: HLE-Diamond Debut?
• Google market share this week
• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• Gemini Carbon released by which date?
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?