Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 76.4%
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8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 51 minutos
Retrasado22 dic 23, 5:32 UTC2 ene 30, 4:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
"major strain" = 20% or more of cases
- "have" = approved by the FDA
- "by 2030" = by Jan 1st 2030
- Though, I'm open suggestions.