Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 72.6%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado5 ene 26, 10:21 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Fed raise the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PolymarketECB Interest Rates: December 2026
PolymarketWill the Fed leave the rate unchanged in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWhich central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. Federal Reserve cut interest rates at least 3 times before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This is a sequel to this market: @/Tumbles/will-tumbles-understand-why-raising I haven't given up yet.
- I am Tumbles, and I have had the relationship between interest rates and inflation explained many times.
- I have gone back and forth with chatGPT about it on more than one occasion.
- I still do not grasp the fundamental mechanisms at play.
- Resolution Criteria:
- This resolves YES if Tumbles feels he grasps the shape of the fundamental mechanisms that connect the federal interest rate to inflation.
