Will Trump "Sell Out" Taiwan Under Rubio's State Department
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.GeopolíticaChina2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 67.8%
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Actualizado hace 18 horas
Desactualizado8 nov 24, 0:34 UTC21 ene 29, 7:59 UTC
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Will the Trump administration take specific actions undermining support for Taiwan during Trump's term (January 20, 2025 - January 20, 2029), with Marco Rubio as Secretary of State?
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if ANY of the following occur during Trump's presidency with Rubio as Secretary of State:
- Official Policy Changes:
- Formal recognition of PRC sovereignty over Taiwan
- Explicit withdrawal of previous US security commitments to Taiwan
