Will Trump revoke EXISTING gender-neutral passports in his second term?
One-OffUS PoliticsPolíticaSociety & Culture2a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 68.2%
Pronosticadores
36
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado25 ene 25, 23:35 UTC16 feb 29, 5:59 UTC
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FutuurReglas
From January 20th, 2025, no new U.S. passports should be issued with an “X” (other/nondisclosed) in the Sex field — whitehouse.gov; CNN; Fox News
- However, it remains an open question what will happen to existing U.S. passports that were issued with an “X” in the Sex field, particularly over the short term.
- This question resolves YES if any existing, unexpired U.S. passport is actually revoked, solely on the basis of its having an “X” in the Sex field, before the deadline(s) given below.
- Generally, if a U.S. passport requires renewal or replacement, and its holder is required to select “M” or “F” in the Sex field as a condition of that renewal or replacement, that will NOT cause this question to resolve.
- However, if any U.S. passport holder is required by the U.S. passport office to renew their passport solely in order to get rid of an “X” in the Sex field, this question resolves YES.
- This question resolves YES if more than 5 unique States contain any international airport, sea port, or border crossing which officially maintains policy to regard passports with an “X” in the Sex field as being invalid.
