Will there be more than 1GW of in-space solar power generation by 2030?
One-OffEspacioCienciaTecnología3a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 58.4%
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado13 feb 24, 11:26 UTC1 ene 30, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be more than 10GW of off-earth solar power generation by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill there be 100 GW of solar power on the Moon before there is 100 GW of solar power in orbit?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada have at least 1GW of space to ground power transmission before 2046?
Manifold MarketsWill there be 1GW of orbital data center compute by EOY 2031?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWill 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before a human walks on the Moon again?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This would be for an average, not peak, so after accounting for intermittency.
- Credible estimates will be accepted as source to resolve YES.
- Solar power does not have to be beamed back, power is counted after conversion to electricity, but before use
