Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 50%
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binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado24 ago 26, 20:09 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if at any point prior to or on December 31, 2028, at 11:59 PM PT, Theo Jaffee publicly confirms, announces, or explicitly refers to having a girlfriend, romantic partner, or significant other.
- Acceptable sources of confirmation include:
- A post or reply from his official X account (@theojaffee)
- An announcement or explicit reference on his Substack (theojaffee.com) or his podcast
- Direct confirmation by Theo Jaffee in the comments section of this market or via another reliable prediction market platform.
Mercados abiertos
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volumen total
- 224,7 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 160,5 mil €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 resultados más
- Volumen total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 344,9 mil €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 resultados más
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Theo Jaffee have a girlfriend by EOY2027??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 50% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Theo Jaffee have a girlfriend by EOY2027??
- Está previsto que Will Theo Jaffee have a girlfriend by EOY2027? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Theo Jaffee have a girlfriend by EOY2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria