Will the US Justice Department or a major outlet confirm “The Duke” in Epstein files is not Prince Andrew?
Crime & JusticeOne-Off5mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 68.4%
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8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado8 feb 26, 16:05 UTC7 feb 27, 23:59 UTC
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Resolution Criteria
- The Epstein files released by the Department of Justice include email exchanges between Epstein and a contact listed as "The Duke," which is believed to refer to Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor (formerly Prince Andrew).
- This market resolves YES if the US Justice Department or a major news outlet (defined as outlets with national/international reach and editorial standards, such as AP, Reuters, BBC, NPR, CNN, The New York Times, The Washington Post, The Guardian, or equivalent) officially confirms that "The Duke" in the Epstein files refers to someone other than Prince Andrew.
- This market resolves NO if no such confirmation is made by February 8, 2027, or if official sources continue to identify "The Duke" as Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor.
- Resolution will be determined by checking the DOJ's official Epstein Library at https://www.justice.gov/epstein and statements from major news outlets covering the Epstein files.
- Email exchanges between Epstein and an account named "The Duke" are signed "A" with the words "HRH The Duke of York KG" at the bottom — suggesting that the sender is Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, who was known as Prince Andrew and the Duke of York before he was recently barred from using the titles.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the US Justice Department or a major outlet confirm “The Duke” in Epstein files is not Prince Andrew??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 68% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the US Justice Department or a major outlet confirm “The Duke” in Epstein files is not Prince Andrew??
- Está previsto que Will the US Justice Department or a major outlet confirm “The Duke” in Epstein files is not Prince Andrew? se resuelva el 7 de febrero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the US Justice Department or a major outlet confirm “The Duke” in Epstein files is not Prince Andrew??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution Criteria