Will the top Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score reach 65 or higher on September 30, 2026?
IADailyManifold MarketsCerradoSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableEste mercado se resolvió: Yes (98.6%)
Resuelto: 1 oct 2026, 7:57
Resolución verificada por el proveedor
CoinRithm tiene evidencia del ganador y del momento de liquidación respaldada por el proveedor para este mercado.
Aviso de calidad de datosDatos obsoletos
Datos del 1 oct 2026, 17:55 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Cronología de Probabilidad
Yes98.6%
No1.4000000000000057%
Ganada
Perdida
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Where will Gemini 4 Pro score on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index vs the leading model prior to its inclusion?
Manifold MarketsWill an Open Weights Model be #1 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Qwen be the top small open model (4B-40B) on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index at the end of 2026?
Manifold Marketstop model on artificial analysis is a anthropic model by the end of the month?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiReglas
Resolves YES if the highest Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index score shown for any model is 65.0 or higher.
- Exactly 65.0 resolves YES.
- Source and timing
- A single reading: the leaderboard table on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index evaluation page at artificialanalysis.ai, default filters, at 23:59 UTC on September 30, 2026.
- I will screenshot the page at that time and post it here.
- Third-party mirrors and trackers do not count, including where they disagree with the source.