Where will Gemini 4 Pro score on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index vs the leading model prior to its inclusion?
IAOne-OffTecnología1a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualGemini 4 Pro 5-8 points worse 90.9%Líder entre 4 opciones
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
0.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado30 sept 26, 2:21 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve based on the score of Google's Gemini 4 Pro on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index compared to the leading model's score immediately prior to Gemini 4 Pro's inclusion.
- The market will resolve using the official scores published on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index (or the main LLM Leaderboard).
- $S_{Gemini}$: The highest score achieved by any configuration/effort level of Gemini 4 Pro (e.g., standard, max effort, etc.) when its official score is first fully indexed and listed on the leaderboard.
- $S_{Lead}$: The highest score on the index among all other models immediately prior to Gemini 4 Pro's inclusion.
- Difference ($D$): Calculated as $D = S_{Lead} - S_{Gemini}$ (representing how many points worse Gemini 4 Pro scored compared to the previous leader).