PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual1480+ 87%-0.2%Líder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
61 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
8,1 mil €
Liquidez
17,2 mil €
Liquidez mediaCompra / Venta
37.0% / 45.0%
Spread
21.6%
Spread amplioCambio 7d
+16.5%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 13 minutos
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
1480+87%
Tendencia de volumen
$9.2k2 jul26d de datos27 jul
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any Gemini model newly added to the leaderboard and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-2.5-pro, gemini-3-pro, or gemini-3.1-pro-preview).
- Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.