KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
above 1500 51%Líder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado
40 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0,9 €
Liquidez
12,1 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
8.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 minutos
25 jun 26, 22:30 UTC1 ene 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
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Manifold MarketsGemini 3.5 Pro when???
Manifold MarketsReglas
If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores the named outcome on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- Any Gemini model added to the leaderboard labeled as "Gemini 3.5 Pro" or greater will qualify.
- If multiple qualifying models are added, the highest scoring model will be used for resolution.
- Models added following the initial qualifying model will not count.
Mercados abiertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
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- Volumen total
- 135,2 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 102,7 mil €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
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- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
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POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
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- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
- Kalshi cotiza above 1500 al 51% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
- Está previsto que Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Gemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score?
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores the named outcome on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.