Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 60.9%
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 12 horas
Desactualizado10 ene 26, 7:14 UTC1 ene 28, 7:13 UTC
Tendencias
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KalshiReglas
A developer in San Francisco just proposed a new 24 story housing development on the waterfront on the site of the existing Safeway.
- It has generated significant controversy.
- Will it get approved substantially as presented e.g., 800 units.
- If it is not approved by closing date at the end of 2027 this resolves as no.
- Update 2026-04-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The project is currently proposed at 790 units.
- It will resolve No if the approved project is reduced by more than 10% in units or square footage compared to the proposal.
Mercados abiertos
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- 200-219+46.0pt95%
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- 659,9 mil €
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- 40-6444%
- 65-8925%
- <4019%
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KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- Yes-17.0pt68%
- No32%
- Volumen total
- 3,2 mil €
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- 2,6 mil €
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- No82%
- Yes+4.0pt18%
- Volumen total
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- Volumen 24h
- 1 mil €
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- No95%
- Yes-6.0pt5%
- Volumen total
- 15,4 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 952,8 €
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- No significant difference+8.0pt39%
- Significant decrease-6.0pt34%
- Significant increase-31.4pt10%
- Volumen total
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will The Safeway Marina project get approved as proposed??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 61% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will The Safeway Marina project get approved as proposed??
- Está previsto que Will The Safeway Marina project get approved as proposed? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2028.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will The Safeway Marina project get approved as proposed??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: A developer in San Francisco just proposed a new 24 story housing development on the waterfront on the site of the existing Safeway.