Will the Republicans win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
One-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónPolíticaElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 202620d
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Datos del 25 oct 2026, 19:55 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 93.1%
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Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado12 jun 25, 12:29 UTC15 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolves to YES if the Republican Party wins at least 218 of the 435 seats in the US House of Representatives in the November 2026 elections.
- This can include independent candidates who caucus with the Democrats (in the same way that the party's Senate majority relies on independent senators).
- It doesn't matter if a Democrat actually becomes Speaker, only who wins more than half the seats in the election.
