Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
One-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónPolíticaElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 202619d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 92.8%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 12 minutos
12 jun 25, 12:28 UTC15 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
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Resolves to YES if the Democratic Party wins at least 218 of the 435 seats in the US House of Representatives in the November 2026 elections.
- This can include independent candidates who caucus with the Democrats (in the same way that the party's Senate majority relies on independent senators).
- It doesn't matter if a Democrat actually becomes Speaker, only who wins more than half the seats in the election.
