Will Democrats win a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections?
One-OffUS PoliticsElecciónPolítica1mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 89.1%
Pronosticadores
49
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado20 feb 26, 1:55 UTC4 nov 26, 0:00 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on the results of the U.S. House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- The market resolves YES if Democrats win 218 or more seats (a majority of the 435 total seats).
- The market resolves NO if Republicans win 218 or more seats.
- Resolution will be determined by official results from the House Clerk's office at https://clerk.house.gov/
- Following the 2024 elections, Republicans hold a 220-215 majority in the House.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will Democrats win a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 89% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will Democrats win a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections??
- Está previsto que Will Democrats win a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections? se resuelva el 4 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will Democrats win a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria