Will Democrats win a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections?
One-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónPolíticaElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 20265d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 92.5%
Pronosticadores
53
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 11 horas
Desactualizado20 feb 26, 1:55 UTC4 nov 26, 0:00 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2026 elections?
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PolymarketWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
PolymarketReglas
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves based on the results of the U.S. House of Representatives elections scheduled for November 3, 2026.
- The market resolves YES if Democrats win 218 or more seats (a majority of the 435 total seats).
- The market resolves NO if Republicans win 218 or more seats.
- Resolution will be determined by official results from the House Clerk's office at https://clerk.house.gov/
- Following the 2024 elections, Republicans hold a 220-215 majority in the House.
