Which party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.
1.2 pts (24h)PolíticaPolítica de EE. UU.Elección3m
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualDemocrat 94.2%+1.2pt
Pronosticadores
14
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+1.2 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado12 ene 26, 21:24 UTC31 ene 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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MetaculusReglas
Resolution Criteria
- The 120th Congress will be sworn in in early January 2027 following the November 3, 2026 House elections.
- The market resolves based on which party holds a majority of seats in the House of Representatives when the 120th Congress convenes. 218 seats are needed for a majority.
- Resolution will be determined by official House records at house.gov.
- Republicans currently hold a 220-215 majority in the House.
- Democrats need to gain a net of three districts to win a majority, while Republicans can lose no more than two districts to retain a majority.
