Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?
0.5 pts (24h)PolíticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElección1m
PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Democratic Party 55.6%+0.5ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
70 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
357 €
Liquidez
13,7 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
0
Cambio 7d
+18.5 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 minutos
18 ago 26, 19:27 UTC3 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsWhich party will hold the most seats in the US House of Representatives after the 2026 elections?
MetaculusPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketReglas
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the party, between the the named outcome and the the named outcome, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
- If the the named outcome and the the named outcome hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”.
- This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026.
- If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
- For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Democratic Party es del 56%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 1 punto porcentual entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm Democratic Party 56% · 2 plataformas · 1 pt de dispersion entre venues
- También disponible en Kalshi — Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? · Democratic Party 56%
