Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsElección3m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Democratic Party 58.3%-1.0ptLíder entre 3 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
70 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
211,8 €
Liquidez
31,4 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
17 mar 26, 14:00 UTC1 ene 27, 14:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Reglas
If Republicans hold more state governorships than Democrats after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:state governments
- For the purposes of this Contract, the total number of governorships held by a party is calculated by counting (i) uncontested governorships (those without a scheduled election in 2026) plus (ii) contested governorships won by that party's candidate as determined under the resolution criteria of the ELECTION contract, including the accelerated provision.
- If neither party holds more governorships after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
- If Democrats hold more governorships than Republicans after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
2 plataformas cotizan actualmente este mercado. La probabilidad de referencia ponderada por liquidez de CoinRithm para Democratic Party es del 56%. Las cotizaciones difieren en unos 3 puntos porcentuales entre las plataformas más alejadas.
Referencia CoinRithm Democratic Party 56% · 2 plataformas · 3 pt de dispersion entre venues
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Who will hold more governorships after the midterms??
- Kalshi cotiza Democratic Party al 58% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Who will hold more governorships after the midterms??
- Está previsto que Who will hold more governorships after the midterms? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Who will hold more governorships after the midterms??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If Republicans hold more state governorships than Democrats after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes.
- ¿Dónde más está listado Who will hold more governorships after the midterms??
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Polymarket.