Will the Republican presidential candidate endorsed by Trump win the 2028 Republican primaries?

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Pronóstico comunitario actual

Sí 80.3%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 51 minutos

Retrasado

6 nov 24, 14:57 UTC1 jul 28, 3:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

I think this is a good measure of how much influence Trump/MAGA will have on the future of the Republican party.

Will Trump endorse a candidate for the primaries who goes on to win the primary and become the 2028 Republican presidential candidate?
Some potential resolution cases:
Trump does not endorse a candidate: N/A
Trump runs himself and wins: Yes
Trump endorses a third party candidate who becomes a serious candidate but does not win the Republican primary: No

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