Will the proposed California wealth tax take substantive effect?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.Elección1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 81.5%
Pronosticadores
25
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 3 horas
Desactualizado1 ene 26, 16:47 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
KalshiWill Denmark implement a wealth tax by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsCalifornia wealth tax defeats opposing propositions?
PolymarketWill California’s billionaire tax take effect?
KalshiBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
PolymarketWill the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
Manifold MarketsReglas
This question will resolve YES if and only if the "2026 Billionaires Tax Act" gets on the ballot, passes, and is upheld by the courts (any legal challenges fail) such that the tax has actually taken effect, and significant (at least $1B) revenue has been collected, by December 31, 2027.
- If legal challenges succeed in striking down the act, or are unresolved by December 31, 2027 such that the tax is suspended and hasn't taken effect yet and its eventual effect is uncertain, the question resolves NO.