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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Regulación
  3. Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?
Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?

Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?

RegulaciónOne-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsElecciónBusiness & Corporate6m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 44%
Calidad del mercado

28 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

1,9 €

Liquidez

13 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

45.0% / 50.0%

Spread

11.1%

Spread amplio
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 9 minutos

16 may 26, 21:001 ene 27, 4:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes44%

Reglas

If California’s 2026 billionaire tax will become legally operative after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For purposes of this market, California’s 2026 billionaire tax becomes legally operative only if the measure is approved by voters and is not superseded, blocked, or rendered inoperative by any higher-vote conflicting ballot measure approved at the same election.
  • Reporting that the measure merely received more Yes than No votes does not qualify unless the report also indicates that the measure will become operative, enforceable, or legally effective. “Legally operative” does not require that any tax has been collected, paid, assessed, or become due.
  • Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
  • Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
  • Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,804.74+2.15%EthereumETH$1,655.68+1.43%SolanaSOL$65.13+1.36%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.35%XRPXRP$1.12+0.29%BNBBNB$595.92+1.65%

Noticias Relacionadas

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Reglas

If California’s 2026 billionaire tax will become legally operative after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For purposes of this market, California’s 2026 billionaire tax becomes legally operative only if the measure is approved by voters and is not superseded, blocked, or rendered inoperative by any higher-vote conflicting ballot measure approved at the same election.
  • Reporting that the measure merely received more Yes than No votes does not qualify unless the report also indicates that the measure will become operative, enforceable, or legally effective. “Legally operative” does not require that any tax has been collected, paid, assessed, or become due.
  • Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
  • Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
  • Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.