KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Before Jan 20, 2029 76%-2.0ptLíder entre 3 opciones
Calidad del mercado
73 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
5,3 mil €
Liquidez
256,8 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread estrechoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
11 jun 25, 14:00 UTC1 ene 27, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
If Trump wins, will marijuana be federally rescheduled before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsWeed rescheduled by which date?
PolymarketWill a U.S. state legalize marijuana in 2026
Manifold MarketsWhat’s the next state to legalize recreational marijuana? 🍁
Manifold MarketsClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
PolymarketWhich Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?
KalshiReglas
If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:SemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCthe United States CongressThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPolitico
- If the DEA were to reschedule only certain cannabis derivatives or specific cannabinoids (e.g., move THC or a particular cannabis-derived pharmaceutical to a different schedule) without reclassifying marijuana/cannabis as a whole, that would not qualify as rescheduling marijuana for this contract.
- Ending the schedule altogether would resolve the market to Yes.
- Clarification (12/12/25): The Payout Criterion requires that marijuana is legally removed from Schedule I. The mere announcement or publication of a Final Rule in the Federal Register does not satisfy the Payout Criterion if the rule has not taken legal effect.
- The market resolves based on the actual status of the Schedules under the Controlled Substances Act.
- If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abiertos
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Volumen total
- 12,5 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 180,5 mil €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-13.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-9.0pt32%
+7 resultados más
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 resultados más
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T21.2%
- $1.75T–$2.0T20.2%
- $1.5T–$1.75T19.2%
+5 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 105,1 mil €
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+21.0pt84%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+13.0pt57%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Weed rescheduled by which date?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
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- LSU to leave the SEC before 2027?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will marijuana be rescheduled??
- Kalshi cotiza Before Jan 20, 2029 al 76% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will marijuana be rescheduled??
- Está previsto que Will marijuana be rescheduled? se resuelva el 1 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will marijuana be rescheduled??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If marijuana is rescheduled from Schedule I to a lower drug schedule under the Controlled Substances Act before January 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.