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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Política
  3. Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?
Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?

Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?

2.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaElecciónBusiness & Corporate4m
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 84%-2.0%
Calidad del mercado

44 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

9,5 €

Liquidez

264 €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

77.0% / 82.0%

Spread

6.5%

Spread moderado
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 1 minuto

1 nov 25, 14:003 nov 26, 4:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes84%

PolymarketTambién disponible en Polymarket

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

1.0%13d
Sí
Sí
-0.0%88%
No
No
+0.0%13%
60 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoLiquidez media
Volumen total115,5 mil €
Volumen 24h13,9 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Reglas

If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the referendum to be "officially held," voting must have commenced and concluded according to the established electoral process, votes must have been cast and are in the process of being counted or have been counted, and the referendum/ballot initiative must appear on official ballots distributed to eligible voters.
  • Voting must have officially ended by the specified date for the market to resolve Yes.
  • The following do NOT constitute "officially held": mere scheduling or announcement of the referendum for future voting, signature gathering or petition phases for ballot initiatives, court challenges or legal proceedings about the referendum, preliminary or unofficial results announcements, or recounts and post-election audits (the initial voting process determines resolution).
  • The referendum must be officially held within the specified geographic area, which can range from supranational to local jurisdictions or even "none" for certain special cases.

Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.

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Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,741.94+1.93%EthereumETH$1,655.80+1.23%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.61%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.31%XRPXRP$1.12+0.44%BNBBNB$599.21+2.18%

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Reglas

If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For the referendum to be "officially held," voting must have commenced and concluded according to the established electoral process, votes must have been cast and are in the process of being counted or have been counted, and the referendum/ballot initiative must appear on official ballots distributed to eligible voters.
  • Voting must have officially ended by the specified date for the market to resolve Yes.
  • The following do NOT constitute "officially held": mere scheduling or announcement of the referendum for future voting, signature gathering or petition phases for ballot initiatives, court challenges or legal proceedings about the referendum, preliminary or unofficial results announcements, or recounts and post-election audits (the initial voting process determines resolution).
  • The referendum must be officially held within the specified geographic area, which can range from supranational to local jurisdictions or even "none" for certain special cases.