Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?
One-OffPolíticaElecciónBusiness & Corporate3m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aproximadaProbabilidad implícita actualSí 91%
Calidad del mercado
49 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
0 €
Liquidez
41,5 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
91.5% / 95.9%
Spread
4.8%
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 15 minutos
1 nov 25, 14:003 nov 26, 4:59
Tendencias
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Yes91%
Comparar plataformas· Yes
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMejor en general61% de coincidencia · verificado | Media | 100% | — | 2,6 mil € | 0 € | hace 29 días | Abrir → |
| KalshiEsta página | Baja | 91% | — | 0 € | 41,5 mil € | hace 15 minutos |
También disponible en Polymarket
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
38.5%Cerrados
Resuelto
Sí (100%)
+0.4%100%
-0.4%0%
63 • Calidad mediaSpread estrechoBaja liquidez
Volumen total217,2 mil €
Volumen 24h2,6 mil €
POLYMARKETReglas
If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the referendum to be "officially held," voting must have commenced and concluded according to the established electoral process, votes must have been cast and are in the process of being counted or have been counted, and the referendum/ballot initiative must appear on official ballots distributed to eligible voters.
- Voting must have officially ended by the specified date for the market to resolve Yes.
- The following do NOT constitute "officially held": mere scheduling or announcement of the referendum for future voting, signature gathering or petition phases for ballot initiatives, court challenges or legal proceedings about the referendum, preliminary or unofficial results announcements, or recounts and post-election audits (the initial voting process determines resolution).
- The referendum must be officially held within the specified geographic area, which can range from supranational to local jurisdictions or even "none" for certain special cases.
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Tendencia de volumen
$102 jul22d de datos25 jul
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If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative has been officially held in California before Nov 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the referendum to be "officially held," voting must have commenced and concluded according to the established electoral process, votes must have been cast and are in the process of being counted or have been counted, and the referendum/ballot initiative must appear on official ballots distributed to eligible voters.
- Voting must have officially ended by the specified date for the market to resolve Yes.
- The following do NOT constitute "officially held": mere scheduling or announcement of the referendum for future voting, signature gathering or petition phases for ballot initiatives, court challenges or legal proceedings about the referendum, preliminary or unofficial results announcements, or recounts and post-election audits (the initial voting process determines resolution).
- The referendum must be officially held within the specified geographic area, which can range from supranational to local jurisdictions or even "none" for certain special cases.