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  1. Mercados de Predicción
  2. Política
  3. Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

1.0% (24h)One-OffPolíticaUS PoliticsElecciónBusiness & Corporate1a
KalshiKalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisión
Probabilidad implícita actual
Sí
Sí 39%+1.0%
Calidad del mercado

49 / 100

Baja calidad
Volumen 24h

12,3 €

Liquidez

1,1 mil €

Baja liquidez
Compra / Venta

38.0% / 39.0%

Spread

2.6%

Spread estrecho
Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 8 minutos

29 dic 25, 15:003 nov 27, 4:59

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Resultado elegido

Yes39%

Manifold MarketsTambién disponible en Manifold Markets

Manifold Markets

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

6m
Manifold Markets
Sí
35%
Manifold Markets
No
65%
Pronóstico comunitario418 pronosticadoresTipo: binary
Volumen total211,4 mil €
Volumen 24h4,2 mil €
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Reglas

If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California passes, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A referendum "passes" when it meets ALL of the following conditions: receives the minimum percentage of "Yes" or "For" votes required by the applicable constitution, law, or electoral rules (whether simple majority, supermajority, or other threshold), meets any minimum voter turnout requirements if applicable, and is certified as passed by the official electoral authority.

Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.

Mercados Relacionados

Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?

Will California’s billionaire tax take effect?

1,9 €
Sí: 44%KalshiKALSHI
Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?

Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot?

9,5 €
Sí: 84%KalshiKALSHI
Illinois pension debt in 2026?

Illinois pension debt in 2026?

0 €
Above $140 billion: 93%KalshiKALSHI
Which companies will the US take a stake in?

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

61,1 €
Rigetti: 79%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

690,5 mil €
Robert F. Kennedy: 49%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Activos en estos temas

BitcoinBTC$62,978.79+2.54%EthereumETH$1,662.50+1.96%SolanaSOL$65.36+1.80%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+1.63%XRPXRP$1.12+0.54%BNBBNB$597.26+1.92%

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Reglas

If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California passes, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A referendum "passes" when it meets ALL of the following conditions: receives the minimum percentage of "Yes" or "For" votes required by the applicable constitution, law, or electoral rules (whether simple majority, supermajority, or other threshold), meets any minimum voter turnout requirements if applicable, and is certified as passed by the official electoral authority.