KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requerido2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Above $140 billion 93%Líder entre 7 opciones
Calidad del mercado
39 / 100
Baja calidadVolumen 24h
—
Liquidez
3,4 mil €
Liquidez mediaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread amplioDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 4 minutos
13 may 26, 17:00 UTC1 nov 26, 13:29 UTC
Tendencias
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If the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 is the named outcome, as reported by the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:Illinois CGFA
- The Underlying is the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026, as reported in the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability’s November Special Pension Briefing.
- The five State-funded retirement systems are the Teachers’ Retirement System, State Universities Retirement System, State Employees’ Retirement System, Judges’ Retirement System, and General Assembly Retirement System.
- Use the value reported for total unfunded liabilities, or an equivalent combined unfunded actuarial liability figure, for all five systems together.
- The value should be based on the actuarial value of assets / smoothed value of assets, not the market value of assets, unless CGFA does not report an actuarial/smoothed-value figure for FY2026.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Illinois pension debt in 2026??
- Kalshi cotiza Above $140 billion al 93% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Illinois pension debt in 2026??
- Está previsto que Illinois pension debt in 2026? se resuelva el 1 de noviembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Illinois pension debt in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: If the combined unfunded actuarial liability of Illinois’ five State-funded retirement systems for Fiscal Year 2026 is the named outcome, as reported by the Illinois Commission on Government Forecasting and Accountability, then the market resolves to Yes.