¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will CA prop 40 billionaire tax get >50% of the vote?

Manifold Markets cotiza No al 75% a fecha de 25 de octubre de 2026.

¿Cuándo se resuelve Will CA prop 40 billionaire tax get >50% of the vote?

Está previsto que Will CA prop 40 billionaire tax get >50% of the vote se resuelva el 4 de noviembre de 2026.

Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria

Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptable

Aviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados

Datos del 25 oct 2026, 11:25 UTC · política pm-quality-4

Pronóstico comunitario actual

No 75%

Pronosticadores

Tipo de pregunta

binary

Metodología

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo de fuente

Pronóstico

Datos de mercado

Actualizado hace 11 horas

Desactualizado

19 oct 26, 17:49 UTC4 nov 26, 23:59 UTC

Tendencias

Resultado24hProbabilidad

Reglas

Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if California Proposition 40 receives strictly greater than 50.0% of the total votes cast (i.e., more "Yes" votes than "No" votes) in the November 3, 2026 California general election, according to reputable media consensus and/or the official certified Statement of Vote published by the California Secretary of State.
This market resolves to NO if the measure receives 50.0% or less of the total votes cast.
Notes and Edge Cases:
Resolution is determined by the vote count.
Subsequent legal invalidation, court injunctions, or superseding outcomes from competing ballot measures (such as Propositions 41 or 42) will not alter the resolution if the certified vote percentage itself exceeded 50%.