Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 59.3%
Pronosticadores
28
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 10 minutos
12 ene 24, 22:52 UTC2 ene 50, 4:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
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KalshiWill Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiReglas
EDIT: fixing resolution criteria directionality about amateurs
- The Millennium Prize Problems are seven famous open problems in math, all listed together in 2000.
- One was solved; as of 2024, six remain.
- Will the next one be solved by an amateur? This market resolves YES if the very next problem to be solved is solved by an amateur, and NO otherwise.
- The close date will be extended as needed.
- For the purpose of this market:
Mercados abiertos
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by an amateur??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 59% a fecha de 9 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by an amateur??
- Está previsto que Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by an amateur? se resuelva el 2 de enero de 2050.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the next Millennium Prize Problem be solved by an amateur??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: EDIT: fixing resolution criteria directionality about amateurs