Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26)
Bonds & TreasuriesOne-OffIATecnologíaEquities3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 83.1%
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 7 horas
Desactualizado3 ago 26, 14:41 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, on any regular trading day from August 4, 2026, through December 31, 2026 (inclusive), the official daily closing price of the Nasdaq Composite Index is at least 15.00% lower than its closing price on August 3, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- Baseline Close ($C_{Aug3}$): The official closing price of the Nasdaq Composite on August 3, 2026.
- Target Price ($T$): $C_{Aug3} \times 0.85$ (rounded to two decimal places).
- Trigger: If the index's closing price on any subsequent trading day within the specified timeframe is less than or equal to $T$.
Mercados abiertos
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- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
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KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 4.35% or above+21.0pt99%
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KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 4.69% or above99%
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- 8,5 mil €
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 10, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26)?
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 83% a fecha de 10 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26)?
- Está previsto que Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26) se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the Nasdaq Composite close 15% below its August 3, 2026 close by December 31, 2026? (12/31/26)?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria