Will the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by December 31, 2027?
ChinaOne-Off1aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoPronóstico comunitario actualNo 78%
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Actualizado hace 25 minutos
31 mar 26, 16:22 UTC31 dic 27, 5:00 UTC
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This market resolves YES if, by December 31, 2027, all Kachin State border crossings have been closed to rare earth trade for 30+ consecutive days due to a breakdown in the KIA-China commercial relationship.
- YES if by December 31, 2027:
- All Kachin border crossings closed to RE trade for 30+ consecutive days
- Closure caused by KIA-China diplomatic/commercial breakdown (not weather/logistics)
- No 30+ day consecutive halt has occurred by December 31, 2027
- Any closures were shorter than 30 days or caused by non-commercial factors