Will the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by December 31, 2026?
ChinaOne-Off3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 88%
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0
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Pronóstico
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Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado31 mar 26, 16:22 UTC31 dic 26, 5:00 UTC
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KalshiReglas
This market resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, all Kachin State border crossings have been closed to rare earth trade for 30+ consecutive days due to a breakdown in the KIA-China commercial relationship.
- YES if by December 31, 2026:
- All Kachin border crossings closed to RE trade for 30+ consecutive days
- Closure caused by KIA-China diplomatic/commercial breakdown (not weather/logistics)
- No 30+ day consecutive halt has occurred by December 31, 2026
- Any closures were shorter than 30 days or caused by non-commercial factors
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by December 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 88% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by December 31, 2026??
- Está previsto que Will the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by December 31, 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the KIA-China rare earth trade have suffered a 30+ day halt by December 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves YES if, by December 31, 2026, all Kachin State border crossings have been closed to rare earth trade for 30+ consecutive days due to a breakdown in the KIA-China commercial relationship.