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Will the head of state of [country] officially be named [title] of that country on any day in 2039?
Oriente MedioOne-OffRusia / Ucrania13a
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
Shah (Iran) 52.1%Líder entre 11 opciones
Shah (Iran) 52.1%Pronosticadores
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Actualizado hace 6 horas
Desactualizado8 feb 24, 16:37 UTC1 ene 40, 22:59 UTC
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Resolves as 'Yes' if the respective head of state bears the title at some point in 2039.
- Note that only the official title is necessary, even if they are e.g. still chosen by regular elections.
- The answer needs to be the official title or a generally accepted English translation of the title.
- Resolves as 'Yes' if the name of the title would be as listed if its holder had a different gender (e.g. 'Tsarina' or 'Tsaritsa' instead of 'Tsar').
- Resolves 'No' if the country ceases to meaningfully exist or retains less that 10% of the territory it had in January 2024.
- A country changing its name can still resolve as 'Yes', e.g. if Iran becomes Persia and has a Shah, it would count.
