Pronóstico comunitario actual
Sí 54%
Pronosticadores
57
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 6 minutos
18 sept 25, 10:37 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
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PolymarketReglas
Resolves YES if the AfD is part of the government on state level.
- This can be as part of a coalition or with an absolute majority.
- Tolerating a minority government does not count.
- I will follow the mainstream media consensus on who is part of the government.
- Generally, this involves having a minister who belongs to the party.
- There are currently five elections remaining on state level in this timeframe (https://www.wahlrecht.de/termine.htm) and also some states where the state of the parliament seems somewhat unstable after the elections last year.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 54% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026??
- Está previsto que Will the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolves YES if the AfD is part of the government on state level.