Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 98.8%
Pronosticadores
8
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado17 jun 26, 22:04 UTC16 sept 26, 18:25 UTC
Tendencias
Activos Sensibles al Macro
Reglas
This market resolves YES if the Federal Open Market Committee lowers the target range for the federal funds rate by at least 25 basis points in the statement issued for the September 16, 2026 FOMC meeting.
- Use the change announced in the first official FOMC statement or decision release tied to the September 15-16, 2026 meeting.
- YES if the target range is at least 25 basis points below the range in effect immediately before that meeting.
- NO if the target range is unchanged or is lowered by less than 25 basis points.
- Do not use the chair's press-conference wording, projections, minutes, market pricing, or later revisions.
- If the September 2026 FOMC meeting is postponed or canceled, resolve N/A unless a substitute official decision release for that meeting is issued.
Mercados abiertos
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.1%
- Hike >25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 34,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 2,6 M €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 resultados más
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+5.0pt49.5%
- Fed maintains rate-4.0pt43.5%
- Cut 25bps2.8%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 543,8 mil €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.3pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt2%
+10 resultados más
POLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- No change66.7%
- 25 bps increase30.4%
- 25 bps decrease-0.8pt2%
+2 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHINumber of rate cuts in 2026?
- Exactly 0 cuts-0.9pt91%
- Exactly 1 cut+0.6pt8%
- Exactly 2 cuts1%
+18 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 7,6 M €
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- Next Fed rate hike?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
Criptos relacionadas
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Sept. 16, 2026 FOMC meeting??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 99% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Sept. 16, 2026 FOMC meeting??
- Está previsto que Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Sept. 16, 2026 FOMC meeting? se resuelva el 16 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Sept. 16, 2026 FOMC meeting??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This market resolves YES if the Federal Open Market Committee lowers the target range for the federal funds rate by at least 25 basis points in the statement issued for the September 16, 2026 FOMC meeting.