Will SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 14 ?
Latin AmericaOne-OffTecnologíaSpace3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 84.2%
Pronosticadores
12
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 17 horas
Desactualizado25 jun 26, 13:42 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Will SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 15 ?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX execute a ship catch attempt during Starship flight 14 ?
Manifold MarketsBefore which Starship flight will SpaceX first announce they will *attempt* at least one orbit?
Manifold MarketsChopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by which date?
PolymarketSpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, during SpaceX's 14th integrated Starship flight test (commonly referred to as Starship Flight 14 or IFT-14), SpaceX executes an active attempt to catch the first-stage Super Heavy booster using the launch tower's "chopstick" arms (Mechazilla).
- What constitutes a "catch attempt"? A catch attempt is defined as the Super Heavy booster returning to a launch pad (e.g., Starbase, Texas) and attempting a landing burn to guide itself into the launch tower's arms for recovery.
- Success is not required for a YES resolution: If the booster guides itself to the tower to attempt a catch, the market resolves to YES even if the catch ultimately fails (e.g., the booster crashes, explodes, or damages the tower during the catch sequence).
- What resolves to NO? The market will resolve to NO if:
- The booster is intentionally diverted to a water landing (such as a splashdown in the Gulf of Mexico) without attempting a tower catch.
Mercados abiertos
Latin AmericaPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.8pt45.5%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 125,2 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 635,9 mil €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-3.0pt84.3%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+4.8pt13.7%
- Renan Santos-0.5pt1%
+15 resultados más
POLYMARKETTrump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt9%
- September 30-1.0pt5%
- Volumen total
- 86 mil €
- Volumen 24h
- 56,5 mil €
KALSHIBrazil Presidential election winner?
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt51.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+3.0pt42.9%
- Jair Bolsonaro2.9%
+11 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 3,4 M €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro86.5%
- Delcy Rodríguez-3.0pt11.5%
- María Corina Machado+0.1pt1%
+13 resultados más
POLYMARKETParaná Governor Election Winner
- Sergio Moro+2.5pt86%
- Sandro Alex-2.5pt14%
- Requião Filho-0.4pt0%
+6 resultados más
- New Mexico St. vs Hawai'i
- Mercyhurst vs New Mexico
- Ceará Senate Election: 1st Place
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
- Piauí Governor Election Winner
- Tucuman vs River Plate
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
- Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
- Highest temperature in Mexico City on September 9?
- Lima Mayoral Election Winner
- Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 14 ??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 84% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 14 ??
- Está previsto que Will SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 14 ? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will SpaceX execute a booster catch attempt during Starship flight 14 ??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: Resolution criteria