PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Tarcísio de Freitas 99%+0.1ptLíder entre 5 opciones
Calidad del mercado
73 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
60,5 €
Liquidez
86,3 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
0.1 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
13
Cambio 7d
+1.1 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 24 minutos
27 abr 26, 21:25 UTC1 jul 27, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsReglas
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Comparación de fuentes de predicción
- También disponible en Kalshi — São Paulo Governor winner? · Tarcísio de Freitas 98%
Mercados abiertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.1pt60.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt38.6%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 133,7 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 947,3 mil €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 resultados más
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate29.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.4pt9.8%
+1 resultados más
- Volumen total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 resultados más
- Volumen total
- 194,6 M €
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Volumen total
- 28,9 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 523,8 mil €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.2pt90.1%
- Republican Party+0.4pt9.9%
- Volumen total
- 30,1 M €
- Volumen 24h
- 493,5 mil €
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de São Paulo Governor Election Winner?
- Polymarket cotiza Tarcísio de Freitas al 99% a fecha de 22 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve São Paulo Governor Election Winner?
- Está previsto que São Paulo Governor Election Winner se resuelva el 1 de julio de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida São Paulo Governor Election Winner?
- Polymarket liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- ¿Dónde más está listado São Paulo Governor Election Winner?
- La misma pregunta también está listada en Kalshi.