PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableProbabilidad implícita actual
Tarcísio de Freitas 94%Líder entre 25 opciones
Calidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
363,2 €
Liquidez
118,1 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
5.0% / 5.5%
Spread
10.0%
Spread amplioCambio 7d
+1.3%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 19 minutos
27 abr 26, 21:254 oct 26, 0:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
Solo fondos simulados, sin dinero realNo es asesoramiento financiero
Resultado elegido
Tarcísio de Freitas94%
Comparar plataformas· Tarcísio de Freitas
Ordenado por calidad de mercado, luego liquidez y volumen de 24 h| Plataforma | Calidad | Probabilidad | vs. referencia | Vol 24h | Liq | Actualidad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketEsta páginaMejor en general | Media | 94% | 0pt | 363,2 € | 118,1 mil € | hace 19 minutos | |
 Kalshi80% de coincidencia · auto | Media | 92% | -2pt | 0,9 € | 11,4 mil € | hace 19 minutos | Abrir → |
También disponible en Kalshi
São Paulo Governor winner?
3.0%1a
-3.0%92%
8%
1%
+3 resultados más
60 • Calidad mediaSpread moderadoLiquidez mediaCerca de la resolución
Volumen total28,7 mil €
Volumen 24h0,9 €
KALSHIReglas
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
Operaciones grandes
$4.8k92.0%POLYMARKETYes78979879879879hace 24 d
POLYMARKETYes78979879879879hace 24 dTendencia de volumen
$4132 jul25d de datos26 jul
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The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).