Probabilidad implícita actual
Tarcísio de Freitas 82%-2.5%Líder entre 25 opciones
Calidad del mercado
64 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
1,9 mil €
Liquidez
109 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venta
11.4% / 14.0%
Spread
22.8%
Spread amplioCambio 7d
+1.9%
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
27 abr 26, 21:304 oct 26, 0:00
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
Resultado elegido
Tarcísio de Freitas82%
También disponible en Kalshi
São Paulo Governor winner?
87.0%1a
+87.0%91%
92%
8%
+3 resultados más
28 • Baja calidadSpread amplioBaja liquidezMercado poco profundo
Volumen total263,5 €
Volumen 24h4,9 €
KALSHIReglas
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Las probabilidades pueden diferir debido a diferentes estructuras de mercado, comisiones y grupos de participantes.
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The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).