PolymarketComprobar disponibilidadSin KYC2% de comisiónDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
Sergio Moro 86.3%+3.5ptLíder entre 9 opcionesAjustado por margen: las cotizaciones brutas sumaban más del 100% y se normalizaron.
Calidad del mercado
83 / 100
Alta calidadVolumen 24h
13,2 mil €
Liquidez
182,5 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread estrechoComentarios
13
Cambio 7d
+7.0 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 5 minutos
10 jun 26, 2:27 UTC5 oct 26, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
Paraná Senate Election: 1st Place
PolymarketParaná Senate Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraná
PolymarketBrazil 2026 Election: Who will be elected State Governor in Paraná (PR)?
Manifold MarketsElected Governor of Paraná in 2026
FutuurWill Democrats win a 2026 Governor election in a state trump won?
Manifold MarketsReglas
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
