Will Republicans win the 2026 midterms election?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 202620d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 15 oct 2026, 18:01 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualNo 96%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 1 hora
Retrasado7 oct 26, 18:48 UTC4 nov 26, 23:00 UTC
Tendencias
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiReglas
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if the Republican Party wins and/or retains a majority of seats in both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate following the November 3, 2026 midterm elections.
- This market will resolve to NO if the Democratic Party wins a majority of seats in either the House of Representatives, the Senate, or both.
- Specific Resolution Rules:
- U.S. House of Representatives: A party is deemed to control the House if they win at least 218 of the 435 voting seats.
- U.S. Senate: A party is deemed to control the Senate if they secure at least 51 seats, or 50 seats if they hold the tie-breaking vote of the Vice President (the Republican Vice President holds the tie-breaker for the upcoming 120th Congress).