What will really exactly happen in the 2026 midterms election?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 202620d
Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptableAviso de calidad de datosDatos de la fuente degradados
Datos del 15 oct 2026, 10:21 UTC · política pm-quality-4
Pronóstico comunitario actualDemocrats win control of the U.S. House of Representatives 89%Líder entre 6 opciones
Pronosticadores
4
Tipo de pregunta
multiple choice
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Cambio 7d
+5.6 pts
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 9 horas
Desactualizado7 oct 26, 21:05 UTC4 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
Reglas
Resolution criteria
- This is an independent multiple-choice market.
- Each answer resolves independently to YES, NO, or N/A based on the outcomes of the United States midterm elections on November 3, 2026.
- Resolutions will be determined using official state election certifications and consensus projections from major news networks, primarily the Associated Press (AP).
- Specific Rules for Current Options:
- "the named outcome" / "the named outcome": Resolves to YES for whichever party wins at least 218 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives for the 110th United States Congress.
