How many House seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?
PolíticaOne-OffPolítica de EE. UU.ElecciónElecciones de mitad de mandato de EE. UU. 20263m
KalshiComprobar disponibilidadKYC requeridoDatos de resolución verificadosBien calibradoProbabilidad implícita actual
At least 182 90%Líder entre 14 opciones
At least 182 90%Calidad del mercado
56 / 100
Calidad mediaVolumen 24h
419,7 €
Interés abierto
29,9 mil €
Interés abierto altoSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoDatos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 minutos
22 sept 26, 0:00 UTC3 ene 27, 13:59 UTC
Tendencias
Condiciones de la plataforma
Fuente: Kalshi
Estas condiciones son informativas; las operaciones simuladas de CoinRithm siguen sus propias reglas.
- Cierre anticipado:
- Sí
- Plazo de liquidación:
- 30m (informativo)
Mercados Relacionados
Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
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PolymarketHow many Senate seats will Republicans win in the Midterms?
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Manifold MarketsHow many House seats will the Republicans flip in 2026? [linear, 0-100]
Manifold MarketsWill the stock market crash if the Republicans win the midterms?
Manifold MarketsReglas
If the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates is at least 202 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida mediante:The New York TimesThe Associated PressDecision Desk HQCNNFox NewsNBC NewsCBS NewsABC News
- A seat counts only if the relevant election authority records a Republican designation for the winning candidate’s candidacy in the November 3, 2026 general election; a recognized state affiliate, any one of several ballot lines, or a declared write-in candidacy so recorded all qualify. Caucus affiliation, endorsements and later party changes do not affect the count: a member elected without a Republican designation who caucuses with Republicans is not counted, and one elected as a Republican candidate who later leaves remains counted. Only the regular general election in each of the 435 congressional districts for the term beginning January 3, 2027 counts; a special election for a 119th Congress vacancy is disregarded whenever held. No district counts twice. Seats are counted from Designated Media Source calls as they stand at the Expiration time, not from House composition on any later date; the eight rank equally. A seat is counted when at least four have declared its winner with no contradictory declaration then outstanding; withdrawn or superseded declarations are disregarded. A seat not counted under that four-of-eight test is attributed to the candidate the state certifies as elected. A runoff seat is counted when that contest is called. Designated Media Source declarations. For United States based elections, this Contract may be resolved on an accelerated basis if (A) at least four (4) of the eight (8) Designated Media Sources have declared a winning candidate, party, or option, and (B) none of the Designated Media Sources have issued a contradictory declaration. “Designated Media Sources” are: The New York Times (NYT), The Associated Press (AP), Decision Desk HQ (DDHQ), CNN, Fox News, NBC News, CBS News, and ABC News. Should one of the Designated Media Sources cease to provide independent election calls, it may be replaced at the sole discretion of the Exchange. For the purposes of this clause, a source declares a winning candidate, party, or option when it makes either (i) a formal projection of victory by its centralized decision desk, or (ii) an unambiguous statement in a news article that the candidate/party/option has won. For the network sources (Fox, NBC, CBS, ABC), a declaration from a local affiliate may represent the parent network; however, a declaration from the national desk shall always supersede any affiliate’s call. In all instances, a parent network and all of its affiliates shall collectively constitute a single source for the purpose of this clause.
Reglas de cada resultado
- At least 182
- If the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates is at least 182 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 186
- If the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates is at least 186 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 190
- If the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates is at least 190 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 194
- If the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates is at least 194 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 198
- If the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates is at least 198 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 202
- If the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates is at least 202 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 206
- If the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates is at least 206 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 210
- If the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates is at least 210 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 214
- If the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates is at least 214 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 218
- If the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates is at least 218 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 222
- If the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates is at least 222 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 226
- If the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates is at least 226 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 230
- If the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates is at least 230 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 234
- If the number of U.S. House seats won by Republican Party candidates is at least 234 in the 2026 U.S. House elections, then the market resolves to Yes.