Pronóstico comunitario actual
No 81.5%
Pronosticadores
13
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 16 horas
Desactualizado12 feb 25, 14:39 UTC15 ago 29, 22:59 UTC
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Preguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, no una comparación de contratos equivalentes.
What Conservative/Reform UK cross-pollination will occur by the next UK general election?
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PolymarketHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Reform UK vote percent
KalshiWhich party will win the next UK general election?
KalshiReglas
Reform UK, formerly known as the Brexit Party, has shown increasing popularity in recent polls.
- In early February 2025, a YouGov poll placed Reform UK at 25%, ahead of both Labour (24%) and the Conservatives (21%).
- The party is particularly attracting former Conservative voters, with about 33% of past Conservative voters considering Reform UK.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if both of the following conditions are met:
- Reform UK has the highest percentage in the final YouGov voting intention poll conducted before the next UK general election