Will Peter Hegseth be impeached during Trump's second presidential term?
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Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 69%
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Actualizado hace 10 horas
Desactualizado30 nov 25, 2:47 UTC20 ene 29, 11:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsWill Pete Hegseth be impeached?
KalshiPete Hegseth impeached by which date?
PolymarketReglas
The Secretary of War William Belknap was impeached even after resigning in 1876.
- Will Peter Hegseth follow suit?
- Resolves YES on impeachment, regardless of what the Senate does.
- If he leaves office in other manner or serves the whole Trump term, without an impeachment process having been initiated, resolves NO.
- Any impeachment process started in the timeframe can result in YES, when the process ends, is not material.
- Update 2026-04-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Introducing articles of impeachment alone is not sufficient to resolve YES.