Will OpenRouter's top 3 most used models all cost less than $1.00 per million tokens on Dec 31, 2026?
IAOne-Off3mManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 57.6%
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7
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
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Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 2 horas
Desactualizado1 jun 26, 14:36 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendencias
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As agent frameworks mature, high-volume, low-cost "inference-optimized" or highly distilled models may completely take over background agent loops from high-cost frontier models.
- This market resolves to YES if, on December 31, 2026, each of the top 3 models individually costs less than $1.00 per 1 million tokens.
- For a model to qualify, the sum of its individual input price per million tokens and its output price per million tokens must be less than $1.00.
- If Model #1, Model #2, and Model #3 all individually cost under $1.00/M tokens, this market resolves to YES.
- If any model in the top 3 spots costs $1.00/M tokens or more, this market resolves to NO.
- Resolves based on the "This Month" filter of the OpenRouter LLM Leaderboard (openrouter.ai/rankings) on Dec 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT (-ish).
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de Will OpenRouter's top 3 most used models all cost less than $1.00 per million tokens on Dec 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets cotiza No al 58% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve Will OpenRouter's top 3 most used models all cost less than $1.00 per million tokens on Dec 31, 2026??
- Está previsto que Will OpenRouter's top 3 most used models all cost less than $1.00 per million tokens on Dec 31, 2026? se resuelva el 31 de diciembre de 2026.
- ¿Cómo se liquida Will OpenRouter's top 3 most used models all cost less than $1.00 per million tokens on Dec 31, 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: As agent frameworks mature, high-volume, low-cost "inference-optimized" or highly distilled models may completely take over background agent loops from high-cost frontier models.