Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualSí 81%
Pronosticadores
5
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 8 horas
Desactualizado2 ene 26, 7:37 UTC4 ene 27, 7:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
- It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors.
- If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.
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Preguntas frecuentes
- ¿Cuáles son las probabilidades actuales de The context windows of frontier models will stay around one million tokens in 2026?
- Manifold Markets cotiza Yes al 81% a fecha de 8 de septiembre de 2026.
- ¿Cuándo se resuelve The context windows of frontier models will stay around one million tokens in 2026?
- Está previsto que The context windows of frontier models will stay around one million tokens in 2026 se resuelva el 4 de enero de 2027.
- ¿Cómo se liquida The context windows of frontier models will stay around one million tokens in 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida este mercado del siguiente modo: This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026