Manifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actual
No 86%
No 86%Pronosticadores
47
Tipo de pregunta
binary
Metodología
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fuente
Pronóstico
Datos de mercado
Actualizado hace 52 minutos
Retrasado3 feb 25, 1:14 UTC16 jun 27, 3:59 UTC
Tendencias
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Manifold MarketsReglas
Resolves N/A if there is no o4 model. o4 is defined as any compute setting on the o4 model.
- Something like deepresearch (which is based on o3/o4) would also resolve yes.
- Update 2025-04-17 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): o4 mini Exclusion Clarification
- o4 is defined as any compute setting on the o4 model.
- o4 mini is explicitly excluded from being considered as o4.