Will OpenAI or Anthropic have a lower valuation before EOY 2030 compared to EOY 2023?
One-OffIANegocios y empresas4aManifold MarketsSin KYCDatos de resolución verificadosCalibración aceptablePronóstico comunitario actualNo 85%
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30
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Actualizado hace 8 minutos
5 oct 23, 21:51 UTC26 dic 30, 4:59 UTC
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Manifold MarketsReglas
I saw this tweet by Pedro Domingos and thought to myself, "one of those things is an implicit prediction."
- [image]Update 2025-04-03 (PST) Baseline Valuations for 2023:
- Anthropic: An accepted valuation of $18.4 billion from its December 2023 fundraising round.
- OpenAI: An accepted valuation of $80 billion from its secondary sale initiated in October 2023 (accepted in February 2024).
- These values will be used as the 2023 benchmarks for resolving the market.
